by maguskwt » Sat Apr 10, 2010 5:14 am
Well it depends on how you look at it really. Gross spend doesn't take into account that if a certain player doesn't work out you need to sell and and buy another one that fits better to the team. If you spent 20 million for a player and he doesn't work out. You sell him for 16 million and with that money you buy a player who is a more successful player. This means that you have spent 20 million in player value in the end and not 36 million. The 4 million lost in the mean time is the manager's own risk. As a result you get better success on the pitch (if the replacement is a better fit). For example, in case of Veron for the Mancs, they spent 28 million for him and sold to Chelsea for 15 million or so. With that 15 million they would have bought other players for the same position or other positions as sees fit and Ferguson would have still spent 28 million and not 28 + XX + XX for all those players attained. The value reduction from 28 million to 15 million is due to the failure of Veron being a success on the pitch. The most flawed aspect about just looking at Gross spend is that in the case of Rafa, he likes to buy and then sell quickly if the player doesn't work out. As a result he carried out alot of transfers and it is objectively unfair to just look at his Gross spend. The fact that he might be carrying out too many transfers is another issue and should not be the gauge of how much he's spending. Hence my preference at looking Net spend. Because the Net spend takes into consideration the value fluctuations.
Clubs always have existing value in terms of players. In the case of Rafa, he had a squad which didn't have much value under Houllier and Parry. We sold a former European Player of the year and one of europe's premier top striker for 8 million. Whereas Ferguson had the luxury to sell Beckham at 25 million. Both came from their respective academies and IMO the values shouldn't be that much of a difference. So here comes the factors of handling the contracts of player as well as on pitch successes.
If a manager comes in and wants to sell Torres for 70 million then that's his prerogative, but he has to make sure with that money he buys players which will at least equal the value or eventually have more value then 70 million. At the end of the day I think what Rafa has been saying all along is correct. You have to look at the value of the squad at a single time to gauge whether a manager is successful in the transfer market. If the overall value of the squad is increasing, that means that the manager is doing something right, on the pitch, in handling of the contracts etc. If the overall value of the squad is decreasing, that means the manager is doing something wrong. I think this is a fair and objective gauge, not gross spend or net spend.
