Substitutions before minute 65 - A cultural clash thingy

Liverpool Football Club - General Discussion

Postby aCe' » Fri Oct 02, 2009 5:01 pm

s@int wrote:'Cultural thingy' or not a manager in England is entitled to make a substitution whenever he feels the need to. Restricting a manager to make a substitution between 65-70 mins in order to gauge his temprament by the wider footballing society is nonsical.

It is therefore reasonable to assume limiting your opportunities to stay in touch with your 'cultural thing' serves only as a hinderance to the team your managing.

Posted on behalf of a friend

haha... good stuff

If things arent going our way, sometimes the only way to try and retain the upper hand is by changing personnel around a little... doesnt matter if its at 30min or 70mins, when a change is needed, a change should be done... Personally, id rather see us making changes at 45mins if things arent going our way rather than at 65mins... the half time team talk could be used to explain to the incoming player on how he should be playing etc etc...

The problem is... his subs take too long, and the players dont have enough time to make a difference...
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Postby Sir Roger » Fri Oct 02, 2009 5:07 pm

aCe' wrote:
s@int wrote:'Cultural thingy' or not a manager in England is entitled to make a substitution whenever he feels the need to. Restricting a manager to make a substitution between 65-70 mins in order to gauge his temprament by the wider footballing society is nonsical.

It is therefore reasonable to assume limiting your opportunities to stay in touch with your 'cultural thing' serves only as a hinderance to the team your managing.

Posted on behalf of a friend

haha... good stuff

If things arent going our way, sometimes the only way to try and retain the upper hand is by changing personnel around a little... doesnt matter if its at 30min or 70mins, when a change is needed, a change should be done... Personally, id rather see us making changes at 45mins if things arent going our way rather than at 65mins... the half time team talk could be used to explain to the incoming player on how he should be playing etc etc...

The problem is... his subs take too long, and the players dont have enough time to make a difference...

Has anyone got statistics regarding subs
i.e. changed at half time: effect on match result, changed at 50 minutes, 60 minutes etc?
Just to see if the subs made a difference depending on when they were made.
I can think of one match where substitutions were made at half time and we won...
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Postby account deleted by request » Fri Oct 02, 2009 5:21 pm

These are the times that Rafa's subs have come on AND SCORED . EDIT  Times are for the goal rather than when they came on :( 

'84   Milan Baros  15.09.2004   2 - 0  Monaco  Europe
'79   Xabi Alonso  16.10.2004   4 - 2  Fulham  League
'90   Igor Biscan  16.10.2004   4 - 2  Fulham  League
'70   Milan Baros  26.10.2004   3 - 0  Millwall  LC
'90   Milan Baros  26.10.2004   3 - 0  Millwall  LC
  '47   Florent S.-Pongolle  08.12.2004   3 - 1  Olympiacos  Europe  '80   Neil Mellor  08.12.2004   3 - 1  Olympiacos  Europe
'89   Luis Garcia  26.12.2004   5 - 0  WBA  League
'113   Antonio Nunez  27.02.2005   2 - 3  Chelsea  LC
  '56   Vladimir Smicer  25.05.2005   3 - 3  AC Milan  Europe   
'85   Steven Gerrard  19.07.2005   3 - 0  TNS  Europe
'86   Steven Gerrard  19.07.2005   3 - 0  TNS  Europe
'77   Steven Gerrard  02.08.2005   2 - 0  FBK Kaunas  Europe
'86   Djibril Cissé  02.08.2005   2 - 0  FBK Kaunas  Europe
'82   Djibril Cissé  26.08.2005   3 - 1  CSKA Moscow  Europe
'103   Djibril Cissé  26.08.2005   3 - 1  CSKA Moscow  Europe
'68   Luis Garcia  24.09.2005   2 - 2  Birmingham  League
'85   Djibril Cissé  24.09.2005   2 - 2  Birmingham  League
'82   Boudewijn Zenden  29.10.2005   2 - 0  West Ham  League
'89   Djibril Cissé  01.11.2005   3 - 0  Anderlecht  Europe
'79   Fernando Morientes  19.11.2005   3 - 0  Portsmouth  League
'82   Luis Garcia  02.01.2006   2 - 2  Bolton  League
'61   Florent S.-Pongolle  07.01.2006   5 - 3  Luton  FA
'73   Florent S.-Pongolle  07.01.2006   5 - 3  Luton  FA
'87   Luis Garcia  14.02.2006   1 - 0  Arsenal  League
'89   Peter Crouch  15.03.2006   5 - 1  Fulham  League
'90   Stephen Warnock  15.03.2006   5 - 1  Fulham  League
'59   Fernando Morientes  21.03.2006   7 - 0  Birmingham  FA
'89   Djibril Cissé  21.03.2006   7 - 0  Birmingham  FA
'83   Peter Crouch  07.05.2006   3 - 1  Portsmouth  League
'88   Djibril Cissé  07.05.2006   3 - 1  Portsmouth  League
'88   Mark Gonzalez  09.08.2006   2 - 1  Maccabi Haifa  Europe
'90   Mark Gonzalez  09.12.2006   4 - 0  Fulham  League
'85   Dirk Kuyt  07.04.2007   2 - 1  Reading  League
'62   Xabi Alonso  13.05.2007   2 - 2  Charlton  League
'90   Harry Kewell  13.05.2007   2 - 2  Charlton  League
'76   Andriy Voronin  01.09.2007   6 - 0  Derby   League
'75   Yossi Benayoun  29.09.2007   1 - 0  Wigan Ath.  League
'78   Ryan Babel  06.11.2007   8 - 0  Besiktas  Europe
'81   Ryan Babel  06.11.2007   8 - 0  Besiktas  Europe
'81   Fernando Torres  10.11.2007   2 - 0  Fulham  League
'66   Ryan Babel  24.11.2007   3 - 0  Newcastle  League
'87   Peter Crouch  28.11.2007   4 - 1  Porto  Europe
'85   Ryan Babel  02.12.2007   4 - 0  Bolton  League
'90   Ryan Babel  11.12.2007   4 - 0  Marseille  Europe
'88   Peter Crouch  21.01.2008   2 - 2  Aston Villa  League
'90   Ryan Babel  08.04.2008   4 - 2  Arsenal  Europe
'90   Andriy Voronin  13.04.2008   3 - 1  Blackburn  League
'117   Ryan Babel  30.04.2008   2 - 3  Chelsea  Europe
'77   Ryan Babel  13.09.2008   2 - 1  Man Utd  League
'76   Xabi Alonso  28.12.2008   5 - 1  Newcastle  League
'90   Fernando Torres  03.01.2009   2 - 0  Preston  FA
'84   Dirk Kuyt  07.02.2009   3 - 2  Portsmouth  League
'90   Fernando Torres  07.02.2009   3 - 2  Portsmouth  League
'89   Andrea Dossena  10.03.2009   4 - 0  Real Madrid  Europe
'90   Andrea Dossena  14.03.2009   4 - 1  Man Utd  League
'90   Yossi Benayoun  04.04.2009   1 - 0  Fulham  League
'90   David N'gog  11.04.2009   4 - 0  Blackburn  League
'87   Lucas Leiva  03.05.2009   3 - 0  Newcastle  League
'84   Ryan Babel  09.05.2009   3 - 0  West Ham  League
'90   David N'gog  19.08.2009   4 - 0  Stoke  League
'88   Ryan Babel  26.09.2009   6 - 1  Hull City  League
'90   Ryan Babel  26.09.2009   6 - 1  Hull City  League
Last edited by account deleted by request on Fri Oct 02, 2009 5:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Dazzer » Fri Oct 02, 2009 5:31 pm

Those stats prove to me what I think that Rafa is most good at subs when team is ahead but if a little of mark when it comes to making subs to bring us back from the brink like on tuesday(not counting CL final of course :D ).
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Postby Sir Roger » Fri Oct 02, 2009 6:09 pm

Dazzer wrote:Those stats prove to me what I think that Rafa is most good at subs when team is ahead but if a little of mark when it comes to making subs to bring us back from the brink like on tuesday(not counting CL final of course :D ).

Good point
Anyone got stats regarding this?
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Postby JoeTerp » Fri Oct 02, 2009 6:13 pm

well of course the stats are going to show that, we are a winning club and more often than not we are going to be in a situation where we are winning and not on the brink
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Postby JoeTerp » Fri Oct 02, 2009 6:18 pm

a more proper analysis of how Rafa does with subs when we are "on the brink"  would be to look at every game in which we went into half time tied or losing. how many times did we score before any subs, how many times did we score after, how many times did we not score at all?  When we didn't score, how long did it take for Rafa to make changes?

THEN, do similar stats for United, Arsenal, and Chelsea over the same time period.
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Postby Sir Roger » Fri Oct 02, 2009 6:20 pm

JoeTerp wrote:a more proper analysis of how Rafa does with subs when we are "on the brink"  would be to look at every game in which we went into half time tied or losing. how many times did we score before any subs, how many times did we score after, how many times did we not score at all?  When we didn't score, how long did it take for Rafa to make changes?

THEN, do similar stats for United, Arsenal, and Chelsea over the same time period.

Yes
I have the feeling that when we need the sub to change a game he is brought on too late.
Or is not effective
I could be wrong...
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Postby JoeTerp » Fri Oct 02, 2009 6:23 pm

and sometimes I FEEL like its a Friday, but its only a Thursday. I still have to come in the next day.
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Postby Sir Roger » Fri Oct 02, 2009 6:31 pm

JoeTerp wrote:and sometimes I FEEL like its a Friday, but its only a Thursday. I still have to come in the next day.

Are you on about Crunchies?
???
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Postby bigmick » Fri Oct 02, 2009 9:36 pm

I've just read through and I'll have a think about a response on my way to work this morning. As it is, S@ints friend makes a very good point and in some ways it goes back to respecting the football culture where you have gone as opposed to where you have come from. With the greatest respect, if mass rotation from game one or subs only after minute 65 works in Spain, isn't entirely relevent to England.

As we seem to be finally grasping after five seasons, while draws are a good result in Spain they aren't really in England so there are obviously huge cultural differences. The answer surely is to come in and embrace those differences, NOT to try and impose something which has worked elsewhere without even considering something different.

I was amazed by the "but Mourinho likes to blame the players" comment. It is the opposite to the way I see it, and given the debacle in midweek for which Rafa has seemingly not put his hand up even 1%, I couldn't understand it. One thing Mourinho did do very effectively on arrival was to embrace English football and the way it is played. People scoff at the Robert Huth up top for the last five minutes, but bunging your big centre halves up top in desperation and sticking it in the mixer is as English as stilton and as old as the Doomsday book. Under an English interpretation of the rules (where you are actually allowed to compete for the ball) it's very effective too on occasions. Peoplke forget that if Eidur Gudjohnson hadn't missed from a yard as a direct result of such tactics, we wouldn't have won the Champions League.

Essentially, dogma never wins. Ancellotti has come in and played the diamond in a slightly different way to the norm in England (I think Venables had a go unsuccessfully at a similar system) and so far it's worked which is great. If it continues to work, he should stick with it. If it doesn't, he should adapt it for certain games, I'm sure he will. What you don't do though, is stick to a mantra regardless of what you can see before your eyes. How about subs between 60 and 70 minutes are what I normally do, but in extreme circumstances I will make a move much earlier than that? There, it's not a huge change and it doesn't hurt too much surely.
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Postby Sabre » Fri Oct 02, 2009 10:51 pm

How about subs between 60 and 70 minutes are what I normally do, but in extreme circumstances I will make a move much earlier than that?


Exactly. In *extreme* circumstances. But I opened the thread because out of 10 games, in 9 I can read that the substitutions should come earlier. That's a cultural clash for me, I cannot understand why, and I wanted to hear the arguments that are behind the requests of those substitutions. For the sake of embracing english football,knowing where you come from and all that.

What I have done here is an interpretation of why Rafa does things, I never said it was a dogma. Rather, it's a rule for orientation, the things you'll see more often and you do them because it makes sense. Just like it makes sense to sub a player that has a yellow, and it's normal to see that, it doesn't mean that you won't see players that have a yellow and are not subbed. Never said it was an unbreakable rule, just in case. When I joined this forum I asked why in England the teams do not protect often the first post in corners, while in Spain we do, and I received some interesting opinions. That was a bit the spirit of the thread.



As for the Mourinho likes to blame the players comment, perhaps we can discuss it in the other thread in order not to drift the topic from now on, but I do remember Mourinho having goes at the football of some of their players.
Last edited by Sabre on Fri Oct 02, 2009 11:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby bigmick » Fri Oct 02, 2009 11:18 pm

Sabre wrote:Exactly. In *extreme* circumstances. But I opened the thread because out of 10 games, in 9 I can read that the substitutions should come earlier.

Well people over react is the first thing Sabes as we all know. The match threads actrually during a match get swamped by people over reacting in the heat of the moment, "OMG Gerrard should be shot, how did he miss that FFS!!!" and the like. It isn't until somebody points out that he was 35 yards out and you can't be expected to score from there EVERY time that people see reason.

Similarly, you see in the immediate aftermath of defeats people talking about Skrtel being so bad that "he shouldn't wear the shirt again". It's an overreaction, as is "FFS take Kuyt off now" after ten minutes when an atempt to control it turns into a 30 yard through ball.

Taking all that aside though and being sensible for a second, there definately are occasions where fairly early on it's clear the set up isn't working, or something the opposition is doing requires you to rethink. I didn't need to see Peter Crouch on the left wing for too long for instance (if at all in truth) to know it wasn't working, and that could have been changed as soon as Rafa was ready. Similarly, the midweek debacle should have been addressed at half time at the very latest for two reasons. Number one was that the set up clearly didn't work, and number two was that we needed to score two goals. To give yourself the best chance of doing that, one of the midfielders (or Aurelio I don't mind which) needed to make way for Gerrard, and we needed to put another offensive player on.

Now I know people will say "but we improved second half" but having watched the highlights, they were very happy to let us come onto them, and the set up didn't work any better from where I was sitting.

I can't get away I'm afraid from the feeling that changing it early would be tantamount to admitting a mistake has been made in selection, something we are loathe to do however obvious it is. The biggest irony of all of course is that on the occasion when we had to make changes due to injuries, we managed through an incredible chain of events and a Steven Gerrard wondershow to win the Champions League final. Perhaps we should remember that when we're sitting on our hands.
Last edited by bigmick on Fri Oct 02, 2009 11:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby heimdall » Fri Oct 02, 2009 11:37 pm

Sabre wrote:
How about subs between 60 and 70 minutes are what I normally do, but in extreme circumstances I will make a move much earlier than that?


Exactly. In *extreme* circumstances. But I opened the thread because out of 10 games, in 9 I can read that the substitutions should come earlier. That's a cultural clash for me, I cannot understand why, and I wanted to hear the arguments that are behind the requests of those substitutions. For the sake of embracing english football,knowing where you come from and all that.

What I have done here is an interpretation of why Rafa does things, I never said it was a dogma. Rather, it's a rule for orientation, the things you'll see more often and you do them because it makes sense. Just like it makes sense to sub a player that has a yellow, and it's normal to see that, it doesn't mean that you won't see players that have a yellow and are not subbed. Never said it was an unbreakable rule, just in case. When I joined this forum I asked why in England the teams do not protect often the first post in corners, while in Spain we do, and I received some interesting opinions. That was a bit the spirit of the thread.



As for the Mourinho likes to blame the players comment, perhaps we can discuss it in the other thread in order not to drift the topic from now on, but I do remember Mourinho having goes at the football of some of their players.

Do you not consider being 2-0 down at half time as an extreme situation then Sabre?

BTW Rafa has been having a go at quite a few players this season, even Stevie and Torres, so I'm not quite sure what the dig at Maureen is all about?
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Postby account deleted by request » Fri Oct 02, 2009 11:59 pm

My own view is that by restricting substitutions to 60mins and over it gives the opposition an advantage as knowledge is power and if you know when opposition changes are going to be made you can act or react accordingly.

Secondly it is obviously a great advantage to make important changes at half time as you can explain to the players just how the change is going to affect each player, and rather than the sub spending 5mins running round explaining to the rest of the team just what role he will be playing and how their role may have changed, it can all be sorted in the dressing room. 

My own criticism is that not only does he often wait too long before making his subs when we are chasing the game, but that often he changes like for like rather than making a more bold statement by exchanging a defender for a midfield player or throwing on an extra striker. Admittedly with the quality of Liverpools bench this hasn't been as great a problem this season!

I do think that when things are obviously not working an early change would be welcome and might make the difference between getting a result and coming away with nothing.
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