by Owzat » Tue Apr 07, 2009 12:53 pm
Dossena getting booked wouldn't be a travesty, he should not be first choice or probably not even second choice LB. Arbeloa is a worry, RB has proved a problem position with Degen near enough useless given injuries.
I don't feel Mascherano is such a miss, I think we'd need him more at SB when the blues will/should need to push for a win and we need a bit more defensive cover than offensive options. Hopefully they will sit back a bit, settle for 0-0 or 0-1 and we can get to 1-0 up and score a second. Losing wouldn't be the worst thing in the world, leaves us less fixtures during the run-in with a sole goal to aim at - the mancs with three to deal with. Being at home first is only a disadvantage if you don't do the business :
home side wins 1st leg 2-0 and win tie : 12 out of 12 times
home side wins 1st leg 1-0 and win tie : 8 out of 15 times (4 to the away side, 3 penalty shootouts)
home side wins 1st leg 2-1 and win tie : 4 out of 12 times
Draws : 0-0 favours the away side 15-6, 1-1 favours the away side 12-8 while 2-2 favours the away side 5-1. Minimum the home side needs to do to have a good chance is win, preferably to nil, but by 2+ goals leads to the home side winning through 88.46% of the time.
Never buy from PC World, product quality is poor and their 'customer service' is even poorer