by Owzat » Mon Jul 07, 2008 7:50 am
Times have changed, Rafa has probably taken Liverpool to the highest level since we last won the league, but still some way off winning the league. Whether he can take the team those few steps further I seriously doubt, with zonal marking and midprice purchases holding the team back. Rafa is slowly constructing a team, 12 players already in and out under him and still barely a dozen players worthy of wearing the shirt.
All those using the mancs as a benchmark should probably look as much at Wenger who has been a shining example of how money isn't necessarily the key to success. It is hard to break into the dominance of money, the two biggest spenders have won bought the last four Premiership titles between them, but it isn't impossible. Liverpool lost points against the likes of Brum and Reading last season (7/18) and drew too many games overall. Rafa has yet to beat the mancs in the league in EIGHT attempts, maybe keeping pace with them is hard but beating them in a one-off should be manageable by the tactical genius that won us the Champions League surely?
This is the crunch season, so far we've signed Dossena and Degen with a long, drawn out saga chasing Barny. Has Rafa done enough to convince me this is the season? No. We'll make the same mistakes again and the moves in the transfer market are no more inspirational than usual. The other nagging doubt is even with a flying start there is the anticipation it won't be sustained as both Rafa and Houllier have got off to good starts and quickly turned them into poor finishes.
Flying Starts
2002/3 : P12 W9 D3 L0 PTS 30. Final position = 5th (19 pts behind the Champions)
2007/8 : P14 W8 D6 L0 PTS 30. Final position = 4th (11 pts behind the Champions)
For all the talk of Rafa being the one, he's never finished higher than third, not beaten the mancs in the league, and has a pretty ordinary record against bottom three and top ten sides. I think I said last season that if we didn't show a positive sign like beating the mancs then Rafa would struggle to win the league, you can't keep giving them six points and expecting to finish above them
Rafa vs relegated sides : P24 W15 D6 L3 PTS 51 (Won 62.5%)
Rafa vs rest of top ten : P72 W30 D18 L24 PTS 108 (Won 41.67%)
The record against relegated sides should be 100% or at least a lot closer to 100%. Flicking down last season's Premiership sides and Rafa's results against them, the only sides he hasn't lost to are villa, spudz, Wigan, Sunderland and Derby ie 1/4 of the Premiership.
Point being we lose games that we shouldn't, were the excuse of money doesn't wash. We're not playing Chelsea and Man Utd every game, in fact Liverpool play those two only four times a season and the rest, who spend less, 34 times a season. So 102 points a season are up for grabs against teams that spent less, somehow they or maybe Rafa manage to level the playing field. Maybe someone should jot down the teams for each Liverpool game next season and compare the starting prices (as it were)
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