by LFC2007 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 12:57 am
I agree with the standard view, i.e. it's to early to think we're challenging, but we're very well positioned for a challenge, would urge a sensible degree of caution but have a subtle underlying belief we can sustain it etc..
As for the outlook:
Certainly we look a very different proposition this season. A poor start performance-wise has been largely overshadowed by a mix of solid performances, amongst several spirited comebacks. The Chelsea game though really was by far the clearest sign yet that we're ready for the challenge, and so I perfectly understand the increased levels of optimism in certain quarters. It was a comprehensive performance, set against the backdrop of some shakey defensive performances, after which a lot of people were very concerned. That kind of response shows a massive level of resilience and focus. Bam mentioned a key factor, and that was nerve, we showed exactly that against Chelsea. Our passing was assured, we kept our tactical discipline, we didn't succumb to an onslaught - which was very much expected - and we went out and played a bit, creating as good a level of chance as they did. The mentality of the side is as important as anything else, and how we did it is hugely significant I think. We actually looked like side that could challenge, we saw signs against the Manc's, signs against Everton and City, but Chelsea at the Bridge was THE performance; a performance we haven't seen in the entirety of Rafa's reign in the league.
I agree that the longer term test lies against the likes of Pompey at home, i.e. can we break them down? Can we do what we couldn't manage too often last season? After all, that's what mainly cost us in long run, but at the very least our results and performances against our close contenders have to be equal. When Owzat posted up stat's relating to the 'big four' which showed that the teams that have won the title have either had the best or second best record, I thought there was something significant in that. Yes, ultimately three points are three points, but the character and self-belief that can be taken from a win, or a solid performance against a main contender, can extend throughout a season.
My concerns relate maily to squad depth, and our reliance on key players. Long-term injuries, specifically to Carragher, Gerrard, Torres or Riera, could have a very significant impact on our ablity to challenge. Carragher, because he's as much of a captain as anyone in the side and his presence is vital. Gerrard, because he's the only midfielder we have that actually drives us forward and provides a strong goal threat. Torres, because he's our only consistent goal threat, and we're short of striking options. Riera, because he provides essential balance to our play, emphasised even more because of a lack of a suitable alternative. To a lesser extent we may lack cover at RB, whilst at LB Aurelio is our best option (IMO) and though not great will perhaps suffice if he stays fit, at RM we have cover albeit not great quality. Overall in relation to quality, I'd say we have just enough to challenge, so long as we suffer no long-term injuries to key players. Although a quality RM in January would be nice.
On the subject of Rafa: I wouldn't offer to renew his contract on the basis of 9 league games, I'd have a word with him and possibly prepare talks for later on, with a view to securing him long term. I wouldn't actually commit yet, though. Nearer February/March would be the time I'd pencil in. Obviously, this is what I'd do if I was the owner, but as I'm not and have a small likelihood of being so, it wouldn't be of any significance whatsoever. Although I hear Peewee's lining up an offer.